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субота, 27. август 2016.

Hull vs Manchester United

Hull made a perfect start into the new season, as the team managed to get a home victory over current Premier League champions from Leicester 2:1 in the season opening game, but then also got the three pointer last weekend beating all the odds in their away game against Swansea winning it with 2:0 result. Home side looked better for the most of the game, but the visitors showed their fighting spirit in last quarter of the match and were awarded for it.

They opened the scoreline in 79th minute via Maloney and hit the opponents again in second minute of additional time with a goal from Hernandez, even though the hosts were the ones who had the ball more in between. Not only that, the players of Hull won over Exeter in EFL Cup game last Tuesday evening 3:1 away from home. Having such a perfect start they currently hold the first position together with giants such as Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea and surely want to keep the moment as long as possible.

Hosts should be playing with 4-3-3 formation having Diomande, Snodgrass and Hernandez as their forwards. Goalkeeper Allan McGregor, central defenders Alex Bruce and Michael Dawson and right back/midfielder Moses Odubajo are all sidelined with injuries without performing in the new season. No changes are expected in the team of Mike Phelan this time.


Manchester United also started the new season on the right foot, firstly by winning the Super Cup game (Community Shield) with a 2:1 victory over Leicester, but then have easily overcame first two obstacles in Premier League. They have won over Bournemouth 3:1 away from home in the season opening match, but also took a comfortable 2:0 victory at home against Southampton last Friday evening.

Ibrahimovic was once again their key player, opening the lead in 36th minute, while the victory got sealed six minutes into the second halftime from a penalty kick taken by Zlatan. The team didn’t have much of the ball possession, but showed simply way how they should be playing, since they proved to be very effective out of decent number of chances created during the match.

Manchester United is set to play in 4-2-3-1 formation with Ibrahimovic as their central striker and Martial, Mkhitaryan and Rooney as his first offensive help. Midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger is still not fully fit, but anyway coach Mourinho isn’t counting on him this season. Chris Smalling made his first appearance this season in a victory over Southampton and he could replace Daley Blind. Armenian Henrikh Mkhitaryan could also make his first full debut, but no changes except these two are expected.

    Man Utd have scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 matches (Premier League).

Hull has won first two matches and will surely be going into today’s game with a boosted morale. Manchester United remains strong favorite and my first betting option is their victory combined with total goals, since I believe Hull will be very dangerous as well, while United alone is capable of scoring three.
Bet: Over 2.5 goals & Manchester Utd to win @ 2.37

петак, 26. август 2016.

Konyaspor vs Besiktas

Konyaspor had a great previous season, ending the competition at the third position and earning the ticket for the group stage of Europa League. They have opened up the new season with a point taken away to Rizespor, in the game where they could have earned something more, with the opposition’s equalizer coming quite late during the game.

They took the lead in 55th minute with a goal from central defender Vukovic, but conceded the equalizer just four minutes before the final whistle with a goal from Bassan. Overall, it was quite an equal game from both sides, with the visitors having more of the ball possession, but the home team threatening a bit more. Not that impressive performance for a team that was third and aims to continue in the same manner this season as well.

They are now facing up against the current champions and no doubt that very difficult task is ahead of them. Home side should be playing in 4-4-2 formation with Bajic and Rangelov as strikers. Left back Barry Douglas continues to be injured, as well as midfielder Ali Camdali, both without performing in the new season. That means that Mehmet Uslu will get the position of a left back this time.

After defeat in a Super Cup game against Galatasaray on penalties, Besiktas responded with much better performance last weekend at home, when the team earned 4:1 victory over Alanyaspor and opened Super Lig in the best possible way. They were completely dominant from the first whistle, opening the scoreline already in sixth minute via Ozyakup, while the things were even easier once they doubled up the lead in 43rd minute via Sahan.

Tosun scored twice in the second halftime, in 58th minute via penalty and in 78th, while the visitors were only able to reduce the deficit towards the end of the game with a goal from Akbaba from penalty spot in fourth minute of additional time. Hosts looked really well and maybe what’s the most important, effective with the chances they had. Visiting side should be playing in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation with Tosun as number nine, plus Sahan, Quaresma and Ozyakup as offensive support to him.

They allowed Mustafa Pektemek to move on a loan deal to Istanbul Baskasehir, bringing probably even more pressure to Cenk Tosun, but the player seems to be in fine form, netting two in their victory over Alanyaspor. Jose Sosa has moved to Milan, with the Turkish champions bringing Talisca on loan from Benfica, though the Brazilian is set to start on the bench. After a very good performance in the first round, it’s possible that we see unchanged squad from Besiktas.

    Konyaspor are undefeated in their last 15 home matches (Super Lig).

If Besiktas continues with the similar performance that they had last weekend, it will be really hard for Konyaspor to stop them. Team looks very well early in the decent, while the offensive lineup seems to be in right form. Konyaspor didn’t impress in the first round and will surely be very hard for them to once again be such a dark horses as they were in previous season.
Bet: Besiktas -0.25 Asian handicap @ 1.96

среда, 24. август 2016.

Qarabag vs Goteborg

There will be a highly interesting return leg in Azerbaijan when Qarabag will try to turn around the deficit in Goteborg, as the Swedes stole a 1-0 victory in the first leg despite being severely outplayed on the pitch in terms of chances created and possession – It comes down to effectiveness in the end, and it was a one shot wonder which saved the Swedes, and obviously they will use that goal as a cushion going to Azerbaijan. Qarabag travelled home with a disappointing feeling but have more than decent chances to make it interesting on home soil.

Let’s remain on the word “home soil” for a second, and justify one hugely important factor. Qarabag might be this Europa League qualifiers strongest home team if we look at the record, and is perhaps one of the most difficult places to visit if we overlook the big teams. The last time they suffered a home loss was against Tottenham on the 11th of November 2015. They finished with a 15-3-0 home record with 40-6 in goal differential at home in the domestic league but also gave several top teams in Europe a tough time when they visited. Therefore, the players from Qarabag feel confident in turning things around in their fortress.

Azerbaijan as a football nation might not be what immediately puts any scare in opponents, however the domestic league consist of wealthy and more importantly very ambitious clubs. The most recent examples as Gabala and Qarabag who leads this example. With striker Reynaldo, who is a proven lethal scorer in his prime age of 26, there will be chances to score more than once. Defensively they can lean on Ansi Agolli who is coming from a great Euro 2016 campaign with Albania. It might not be “well known” names but certainly experienced when it comes to international caps and Europa League / Champions League play. Coach Gurban Gurbanov is a successful coach during his time, with having won 54.6% of his coached games.


The tactics and match picture worked very well for Qarabag in the first leg – so we should expect the same lineup to take shape at home as well

While the Swedish league might be stronger than the one in Azerbaijan, Goteborg are not having a good year domestically and the victory against Qarabag at home came as a gift from above after only managing 4 shots compared to 17 for the visitors – still, it was enough to celebrate. Goteborg do have financial problems and therefore they are fully focused on qualifying for Europa League as it comes with well needed money. They have lost the title race in the Swedish league and this was particularly visible when they lost against Hammarby in the last fixture, after resting key players Tobias Hysen, Soren Rieks and the scorer from the first leg, Mads Albaek. It is a strong statement of being focused on the task at hand, but the away record for Goteborg is surprisingly weak after going 3-3-4.

Striker Gustav Engvall (15/3) will not travel with the team. Also, young midfielder Patrik Karlsson-Lagemyr (11/2) will miss the clash.

Truth comes first, and regarless of how you look at the first result, Goteborg experienced their once in a lifetime victory thanks to a wonder goal, a solid strike by Mads Albaek. The Azerbaijan side were superior in everything but efficiency, and it was a big difference in technique, passing, movement, fluency, creativity, attempts – the list certainly goes on. With home soil advantage for Qarabag and only one goal to chase, it is more than a doable task. Goteborg have been weak their away fixtures and the Azerbaijan side will hit the gas pedal from the start. Expect more dominance than in the first leg – as such, -1 asian handicap for the hosts suits well in my eyes.
Bet: Qarabag -1 AH @1.90

Gladbach vs Young Boys

Borussia Monchengladbach did what was needed in the first leg played in Switzerland seven days ago, as the German side managed to get a 3:1 victory and are now almost sure participants in the Champions League group stage for this season. Even though they didn’t have many chances created this time, the team looked very efficient in attack and there was very little what the Swiss side could do.

Visiting side took the lead in eleventh minute with a goal from Raffael a bit against the flow of the game, while the Swiss side managed to level up in 56th minute with a goal from Sulejmani, completely deservedly. Still, two minutes of lack of concentration cost the players of Young Boys a lot, since they conceded two goals, firstly in 67th via Hahn and then two minutes later as an own goal from Rochat. Players of Gladbach will now be able to enter the game much more relaxed and make a real introduction into the season since their domestic league starts this weekend.

After that game, they played in the first round of German Cup last weekend taking a narrow 1:0 victory away to amateurish Drochtersen/Assel side, with quite a rotated squad used. Home side will be missing forward Josip Drmic (13/1 in previous season), but also central defenders Alvaro Dominguez (6/1 last season) and Mamadou Doucoure (newcomer in the team) and other defensive, Marvin Schulz (8/0).


Young Boys, on the other hand, had more chances created in the first leg and the final result could have been a bit different, in their favor, however are awaiting now even more difficult task knowing that they have minimal chances of progressing further. In order to try to revert the things, they will need to attack from the first minute and see what happens, praying that they won’t be punished easily at the back.

It was good to see them back to the winning ways this weekend when the team took on Lausanne last weekend and celebrated quite easy 7:2 victory in front of own fans. It was a great response from players from Young Boys, who took the lead in second minute already via Hoarau, while other scorers were Ravet, Schick, Sutter, Lecjaks, Kubo and Frey, obviously seeming that the team has plenty of players who are in good offensive form.

After this game, the team remained at third position, having six points less than leaders from Basel and maybe more importantly, three less than second placed Luzern, position that will also be leading to Champions League qualifiers. Central defender and team captain Steve von Bergen (2/0), left full back Loris Benito (0/0), right defender Sven Joss (3/0), defensive midfielder Sekou Sanogo (2/0) , left winger Taulant Seferi (0/0) and forwards Guillaume Hoarau (5/4) and Alexander Gerndt (1/0) all remain sidelined due injury setbacks.

Even though the line is pretty high, I still believe that the chances for four goals or more are well above 50%. Young Boys will need to attack and knowing them, the team is surely capable of making the game very interesting, with scoring but also conceding goals of goals. Five or six goals scored are far from a surprise here.
Bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.03

уторак, 23. август 2016.

Plzen vs Ludogorets

Plzen didn’t manage to get a positive result away to Ludogorets in the first leg played seven days ago, since the team not only failed to score a goal, but also conceded twice and now awaits very difficult job to progress into the group stage. Not only that, but they will be having a difficult job to stay competitive in that battle, since the Czech team can’t afford to concede a goal, especially not before scoring one or better to say, two.

The Czechs didn’t look that well into the first leg, playing without self confidence and didn’t press the opponent well during the ninety minutes. Still, they had a goalless draw all the way till their defender Hubnik didn’t make a silly penalty which put the home team into the lead with a goal from Moti in 51st minute, while the home team needed twelve minutes more to double up the lead via Vura for the final result.

Looking at their scores in the domestic league, it’s obvious that everyone in the club cares much more about Champions league for now, as the team has 2-1-1 record for now, coming from a 2:0 defeat at home against Zlin, obviously thinking much more about this re-match, still there’s no doubt that the team dominated that game and deserved more, however the ball simply didn’t find the way to opponents goal. Central defender Marian Cisovsky remains injured from the start of the season.


Bulgarians, on the other side, can be completely happy with their 2:0 lead from the first leg, since they stood very well on the pitch and exactly knew what they wanted, every time with the ball to their feet. They were especially threatening in counter-attacks and it’s obvious that the team’s strong point is that the players know each other very well now.

Their performance in the first leg wasn’t of a high standard, but it still proved to be enough for this challenge, with their start Marcelinho having one of the better matches till now and making a real mess in the visiting defense. Their atmosphere is good inside the locker room, as the team progressed already against Mladost from Montenegro and Crvena zvezda from Serbia in previous rounds.

As for the domestic league, they had 2-0-1 record so far, losing away from home in a derby game against Levski Sofia, but with a 2:0 victory over Montana at home last weekend with goals from Shokolarov and Keseru, they boosted their morale ahead of this much more important game.

Despite serious defeat in the first leg, Czechs are expecting to make a surprise and progress to the Champions League group stage for the third time in their history. I give them advantage for the returning leg, since the Bulgarians don’t need to get a victory here, while it’s about time to see something more positive from the home team that surely has all the quality to get a home victory against Ludogorets at least. The Czech side is anyway known for far worse performances as visitors.
Bet: Plzen Wins @ 2.10

петак, 19. август 2016.

Stoke City vs Manchester C.

Everyone always want to know whether you can play and win a game on a blustery afternoon at Stoke, and Manchester City have actually losing 2-0 last year at the Britannia and will want to make amends in the start of this new campaign. Manchester City will look in a better confidence on the offensive end after stealing a victory last week against Sunderland and then smashing Bucharest in mid-week. The common factor in both those games, Sergio Aguero finding the back of the net. While Aguero nabbed a hat-trick in midweek; he could have easily had 5 goals if he didn't miss those 2 penalties. I think that will turn around that mind-set and will continue to take penalties for the team in the Premier League.


Aguero has actually enjoyed playing against Stoke City, finding the back of the net, scoring 2 penalties and netting another goal in their last 3 games against Stoke in the league. He will be aiming to continue on that rich vein of form as long as there is great support to him from De Bruyne, Silva and Sterling from the midfield while Kolarov and Sagna will be aiming to create chances from the wings when they bomb on forward. Aguero has the ability to come up with some brilliance at anytime; and I expect him to be leading the line and score a goal against Stoke to help Manchester City win this game.



Pick:    Aguero Anytime Scorer Odds 2.00     Stake 6     

четвртак, 18. август 2016.

Man. United vs Southampton

Man. United vs Southampton
Man.-UnitedVSSouthampton

England Premier League | Man. United vs Southampton betting tips by AlexP (Germany)

Match date: 19 Aug | Posted: 15 Aug 10:27 2016 GMT+2. Tip viewed 5565 times.
Man.-United
VS
Southampton
Manchester United vs Southampton. 9 PM at Old Trafford.


I take this now as odds have dropped from 1.50. After a decent second half of United against Bournemouth yesterday we could see that Mou is serious this season. His priority is to win the Premier League for sure.


Pogba will make his debut after missing yesterdays match due a stupid yellow card rule.


Southampton gained a draw at home against Watford after trailing 0-1. They failed to win, but they a currently on a very good streak, dating back to april to find the last defeat of the team.


I dont think it will be an easy contest, but i am confident that United in the end will take all 3 points.


I see a 1-0 or a 2-1 here.



Pick United  Odds     1.44     Stake     10 /10